Demographic Reports

Lamar CISD 2025 Q1 Demographic Report

Economic Conditions

• Houston MSA experienced steady employment growth from 2005 through 2025
• Employment growth fluctuated significantly during the COVID-19 period (2020), followed by strong recovery
• Unemployment rates have generally declined since 2021, stabilizing near 4%–5%

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Housing Activity by MSA

• Houston ranked among the top U.S. housing markets in Q1 2025
• Annualized housing starts: 38,822
• Year-over-year increase: 2%
• Houston housing activity increased 27% compared to 2019 levels

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Houston New Home Starts & Closings

Key Trends:

• Annual housing starts: approximately 38,666
• Annual closings: approximately 39,165
• Starts increased 0.9% year-over-year; decreased 1.5% quarter-over-quarter
• Closings increased 10% year-over-year; decreased 0.4% quarter-over-quarter
• Closings exceeded starts by 499 homes

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Houston ISD Housing Ranking (Q1 2025)

ISD Rankings by Annual Closings

Rank	District	Annual Starts	Annual Closings
1	Lamar CISD	4,839	5,120
2	Conroe ISD	3,335	3,670
3	Katy ISD	2,813	2,862

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District New Home Activity

• 2025 Year-to-Date Starts: 1,144
• 2025 Year-to-Date Closings: 1,241
• 2024 Total Closings: 5,010
• 2024 Total Starts: 4,997

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Housing Development Overview

• 94 active subdivisions
• 40 future subdivisions in planning
• ~1,520 lots currently under development
• 626 lots delivered in Q1 2025

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Residential Development Highlights

• Austin Point: 14,000 total lots, 13,579 future lots, 421 developed lots; sales began Summer 2025
• Wenzel Ranch: Approximately 2,300 lots planned; 984-acre community under planning review

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Multifamily Housing Overview

• More than 1,400 multifamily units under construction
• 408 units are single-family rental homes
• 4,500+ future multifamily units planned
• Over 1,300 future single-family rental units planned

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Enrollment Forecast

• 2024–25 enrollment: 46,525 students
• Projected 2029–30 enrollment: approximately 57,600 students
• Projected 2034–35 enrollment: approximately 67,400 students

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Key Takeaways

• Housing growth continues to drive enrollment increases
• Significant land inventory remains for future development
• Multifamily and single-family rental growth is increasing
• Long-term enrollment growth remains strong across the district

Full Report Access

For detailed maps, data tables, and projections, download the full report:

2025 Q1 Demographics Downloadable Report Zonda

Lamar CISD 2025 Q2 Demographic Report

Local Economic Conditions

• Unemployment rates gradually declined from 2020 through mid-2025
• June 2025 unemployment rates:
  • United States: 4.3%
  • Texas: 4.5%
  • Fort Bend County: 4.1%
  • Harris County: 4.8%

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Housing Activity by MSA

• Houston ranked #2 nationally in housing starts with approximately 38,514 starts
• Year-over-year change: -1%
• Houston has experienced a 31% increase compared to 2019

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Houston New Home Starts & Closings

• Annual housing starts: approximately 38,544
• Annual closings: approximately 38,700

Key Trends

• Starts: -0.8% year-over-year and -0.3% quarter-over-quarter
• Closings: +4.2% year-over-year and -1.2% quarter-over-quarter
• Closings exceeded starts by 156 homes

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Houston Housing Market Trends

• Total home sales (Jan–May 2025): 35,425 vs. 35,465 in 2024
• Average price increased to $423,831 (from $415,724)
• Median price increased to $336,500 (from $330,000)
• Total listings increased to 165,909 (from 124,675)
• Months of inventory increased to 5.2 (from 3.9)

• Sales slowed due to rising construction costs
• Prices increased despite higher inventory
• Buyer urgency declined leading to increased inventory
• Major Texas markets remain overvalued

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Houston New Home Ranking Report (2Q25)

ISD Ranking by Annual Closings

Rank	District	Annual Starts	Annual Closings
1	Lamar CISD	4,784	5,129
2	Conroe ISD	3,257	3,451
3	Waller ISD	3,763	3,266

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District New Home Activity

• 2025 year-to-date starts: 2,407
• 2025 year-to-date closings: 2,528
• 2024 total closings: 5,010
• 2024 total starts: 4,997

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District Housing Overview

• 93 actively building subdivisions
• 44 future subdivisions in planning
• Approximately 2,480 lots under development
• 1,279 lots delivered in Q2

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Top Performing Subdivisions

Subdivision	Annual Closings
Tamarron/West	900
Emberly	249
Sorrento	241
Candela	239
Stonecreek Estates	227

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Residential Activity Highlights

• Brookewater: 2,400 total lots; 1,866 future lots; 87 occupied homes
• Sorrento: 485 total lots; 320 occupied homes
• Holly Ridge: 1,000+ total lots; pricing from $300K–$450K
• Brentwood Farms: 1,098 future lots; groundwork underway
• Brookside on the Prairie: 177 future lots
• Rye Hill: 1,723 lots; first homes expected in 2026

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Multifamily Housing Overview

• 1,700+ rental units under construction across 7 projects
• 260+ single-family rental units included
• 6,600+ future rental units planned

Key Projects

• Enclave at Fulshear: 340 units; future phase possible
• Canvas on Founders Hill: 147 units; leasing underway
• Excelsior SF Rental: 160 units planned
• Lighthaven at District West: 117 units; leasing underway
• Village Crossing: 144 units planned

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Enrollment Forecast

• 2025–26 enrollment: 48,568 students
• 2030–31 forecast: 57,114 students
• 2035–36 forecast: 65,211 students

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Key Takeaways

• Quarterly start rate indicates ~4,800 annual housing starts
• 5,700+ lots currently available for development
• 58,500+ lots planned in future subdivisions
• Enrollment growth persists despite statewide declines
• School choice expansion is influencing enrollment patterns

 

Full Report Access

For detailed maps, data tables, and projections, download the full report:

2025 Q2 Demographics Downloadable Report Zonda

Lamar CISD 2025 Q3 Demographic Report

Economic Conditions

Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics; US Bureau of Economic Analysis

• Houston MSA total nonfarm employment: 3,700,600 (Aug 2025), up 0.1% year-over-year
• Approximately 32,934 jobs added over the past 12 months
• Unemployment increased approximately 0.1% to 0.3%
• Largest sectors: Trade, Transportation & Utilities; Professional & Business Services
• Largest growth sectors: Other Services and Mining & Logging
• Largest decline: Information sector followed by Professional & Business Services

Employment by Sector

• Trade, Transportation & Utilities: 20%
• Professional & Business Services: 16%
• Education & Health Services: 14%
• Government: 13%
• Leisure & Hospitality: 11%
• Manufacturing: 7%
• Construction: 7%
• Financial Activities: 5%
• Other Services: 4%
• Information: 1%

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Single-Family Housing Market Conditions

• Houston averages 2.1 net monthly sales per community
• Among major Texas markets: San Antonio outperforming; Dallas and Houston average; Austin underperforming
• Houston MSA recorded 32,584 new home closings in the past 12 months, down 8.4%
• Affordability and consumer confidence are limiting housing demand

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Mortgage Rate Analysis

• 30-year fixed mortgage rate reduced to approximately 6.26%
• Federal Reserve cut rates by 25 basis points in September
• Rates remain elevated compared to pre-2022 levels due to inflation

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Lamar CISD New Home Activity

Annual Housing Starts and Closings

Year	Annual Starts	Annual Closings
2019	2,897	3,108
2024	4,997	5,010
2025 (YTD)	3,368	3,659

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Housing Development Overview

• 92 active subdivisions
• 1,600+ homes under construction
• 5,530 lots ready for development
• 44 future subdivisions totaling 63,500+ lots
• 5,400+ lots currently under development

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Major Developments

• Arabella on the Prairie: 983 lots, 498 future lots, 220 occupied homes
• Brentwood Farms: 1,098 total lots (early development phase)
• Blue Creek Trails: 541 lots (groundwork underway)
• Fulshear Ranch: 7,000 lots (large-scale development)
• Hallimore Ranch: 666 lots, student yield of 1.0
• Holly Ridge: 1,200 lots, pricing $300K–$450K
• Laurel Farms: 562 lots, 56 occupied homes
• Preserve at Rosenberg: 453 lots, pricing $340K–$419K
• Revera: 528 lots, early development underway

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Multifamily Housing

• 6 multifamily projects under construction totaling 1,822 units
• Approximately 150 single-family rental units included
• 10 planned projects totaling ~6,100 future units

Example Developments

• Enclave at Fulshear: 347 units (leasing expected mid-2026)
• Williams Ranch Vista: 375 units (leasing expected Fall 2026)
• Excelsior: 160-unit single-family rental community

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Multifamily Yield Analysis

• 2,661 students living in 12,908 multifamily units
• Overall student yield: 0.206

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Enrollment Trends

• 2025–26 newcomers: 5,935
• 2025–26 leavers: 4,204
• Net gain: 1,731 students

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Birth Rate Analysis

• Average birth-to-kindergarten ratio: 1.257
• Trend shows strong alignment between births and enrollment growth

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Enrollment Forecast

• 2025–26 enrollment: 48,796 students
• 2030–31 forecast: approximately 57,600 students
• 2035–36 forecast: approximately 65,800+ students

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Key Takeaways

• Enrollment increased by over 12,450 students in the last five years
• More than 2,000 students added entering 2025–26 school year
• Approximately 2,175 homes in inventory and 63,500+ planned lots
• Housing activity is trending below 2024 levels due to economic conditions

 

Full Report Access

For detailed maps, data tables, and projections, download the full report:

2025 Q3 Demographics Downloadable Report Zonda

Lamar CISD 2025 Q4 Demographic Report

Local Economic Data

Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics and US Bureau of Economic Analysis

Houston MSA Employment Data

Category	November 2024	November 2025	Year-over-Year Change
Total Nonfarm Employment	3,471,800	3,490,300	0.5%

• Unemployment increased approximately 0.2% year-over-year
• 18,500 jobs added in the past 12 months
• Largest sectors: Trade, Transportation & Utilities; Professional & Business Services
• Fastest growth sector: Other Services
• Largest decline: Financial Activities

Employment by Sector

• Trade, Transportation, & Utilities: 20%
• Professional & Business Services: 16%
• Education & Health Services: 14%
• Government: 13%
• Leisure & Hospitality: 11%
• Manufacturing: 7%
• Construction: 7%
• Financial Activities: 5%
• Other Services: 4%
• Information Services: 1%

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Housing Market Conditions

The Houston region experienced 38,568 new home closings in the past 12 months, an increase of 1.1%.

• Housing affordability and consumer confidence are limiting demand
• Houston remains average among major Texas housing markets

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Regional Housing Ranking

Region 4 Ranking by Annual Closings

Rank	District	Annual Starts	Annual Closings
1	Lamar CISD	4,236	4,602
2	Waller ISD	3,502	3,534

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Home Price Analysis

Over the past 10 years:

• Existing home prices increased ~50% (+$147,300)
• New home prices increased ~39% (+$109,300)

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Demographic Snapshot

• Median Age: 42.8
• Median Household Income: $245,811
• 78.5% of residents have a bachelor’s degree or higher
• Approx. 62% drive alone to work

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Student Density

• 569 students reside outside the district
• 1.2% of total enrollment
• Largest concentration: Rosenberg (7,798 students)

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Housing Development Overview

• 91 active subdivisions
• 1,400 homes under construction
• 6,500 build-ready lots
• 61,100+ future planned lots

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Enrollment Forecast

Lamar CISD is projected to grow significantly:

• 2025–26: 48,796 students
• 2030–31: ~57,600 students
• 2035–36: ~66,200 students

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Key Takeaways

• Enrollment increased by over 12,451 students in the past 5 years
• Housing growth continues to drive enrollment increases
• Economic conditions may influence near-term growth trends

 

Full Report Access

For detailed maps, data tables, and projections, download the full report:

2025 Q4 Demographics Downloadable Report Zonda

Lamar CISD 2024 Q1 Demographic Report

Economic Conditions

Houston MSA Employment Growth

• Employment growth has fluctuated over the past two decades with strong growth periods and declines during economic downturns
• Unemployment rates have generally declined since 2020 and stabilized near 4%–5%

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State Enrollment Trends (2023–2024)

• Total Texas public school enrollment: 5,531,168 students
• Total enrollment growth: 12,736 students year-over-year

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Region 4 Enrollment Trends

• Lamar CISD enrollment increased by 10,941 students between 2018/19 and 2023/24 (32.7%)
• Region 4 total enrollment increased by 3,721 students over the same period

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Houston New Home Starts & Closings

• Annual housing starts: 38,336
• Annual closings: 35,602

Key Trends

• Starts: +15% year-over-year and +8% quarter-over-quarter
• Closings: -6% year-over-year and +3% quarter-over-quarter
• Starts exceeded closings by 2,734 homes

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Houston ISD Housing Ranking (1Q24)

ISD Rankings by Annual Closings

Rank	District	Annual Starts	Annual Closings	Future Lots
1	Lamar CISD	4,859	4,085	39,773
2	Conroe ISD	3,751	3,763	25,106
3	Katy ISD	3,289	3,052	17,927

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District New Home Activity

• 2024 Year-to-Date Starts (Q1): 1,282
• 2024 Year-to-Date Closings (Q1): 1,131

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District Housing Overview

• 88 active subdivisions
• 33 future subdivisions in planning
• 4,908 lots under development across 22 subdivisions
• 1,112 lots delivered in Q1 2024

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Residential Development Highlights

Tamarron West

• 3,596 total lots
• 2,515 future lots
• 500 occupied homes
• 182 LCISD students (yield: 0.364)

Candela

• 1,436 total lots
• 563 occupied homes
• 296 LCISD students (yield: 0.526)

Emberly

• 2,456 total lots
• 32 occupied homes

Fulshear Lakes – Lakeside

• 260 total lots
• Groundwork underway

Evergreen

• 756 total lots
• Groundwork underway

Laurel Farms

• 562 total lots
• Groundwork underway

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Multifamily Housing Overview

• 13 multifamily projects in planning totaling 3,075 future units
• 1,832 units currently under construction across 7 projects

Recent Multifamily Activity

• Mio District West: 400 units; leasing began mid-2024
• The Ryon (Richmond): 189 units; leasing began May 2024

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Student Transfers (TEA)

• Total transfers into Lamar CISD decreased by 154 students over five years
• Total transfers out increased significantly over the same period

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Charter School Impact

• More than 930 charter schools operating in Texas
• 422,916 students enrolled in 2023/24 (increase of 18,850)
• 33 new charter campuses opened in 2023/24
• Houston area: 220+ charter campuses serving 106,000+ students

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Enrollment Forecast

• 2023–24 enrollment: 44,385 students
• 2028–29 projection: approximately 55,123 students
• 2033–34 projection: approximately 65,292 students

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Key Takeaways

• Quarterly housing starts returned to over 1,200 homes
• Annual housing pace projected at over 4,800 starts
• Strong development pipeline across the district
• Enrollment projected to continue strong long-term growth

Full Report Access

For detailed maps, data tables, and projections, download the full report:

2024 Q1 Demographics Downloadable Report Zonda

Lamar CISD 2024 Q2 Demographic Report

Local Economic Conditions

• June 2024 unemployment rates:
  • United States: 4.3%
  • Texas: 4.5%
  • Brazoria County: 4.9%
  • Harris County: 4.8%
• Unemployment rates have generally declined since 2020 with stabilization into 2024

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Houston New Home Starts & Closings

• Annual housing starts: 38,857
• Annual closings: 37,142

Key Trends

• Starts: +22% year-over-year and +1% quarter-over-quarter
• Closings: +4% year-over-year and +4% quarter-over-quarter
• Starts exceeded closings by 1,715 homes

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Houston Housing Market Trends

• Home sales (Jan–May 2024): 34,848 vs. 34,465 in 2023
• Average price: $415,724 (up from $402,857)
• Median price: $330,000 (up from $325,000)
• Total listings: 96,423 vs. 124,675 in 2023
• Months of inventory: 2.6 vs. 3.9

• Home prices increased in early 2024 while listings also increased
• Buyer confidence moderated after a strong start to the year
• Inventory levels increased as sales slowed

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Houston ISD Housing Ranking (2Q24)

ISD Rankings by Annual Closings

Rank	District	Annual Starts	Annual Closings	Future Lots
1	Lamar CISD	5,088	4,305	39,971
2	Conroe ISD	3,808	3,751	23,914
3	Katy ISD	3,186	3,240	16,480

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District New Home Activity

• 2024 Year-to-Date Starts: 2,749
• 2024 Year-to-Date Closings: 2,419

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District Housing Overview

• 90 actively building subdivisions
• 32 future subdivisions in planning
• More than 3,250 lots under development across 15 subdivisions
• 1,479 lots delivered in Q2 2024

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Residential Development Highlights

Tamarron West

• 3,597 total lots
• 2,516 future lots
• 649 occupied homes

Brookewater

• 2,400 total lots
• 2,046 future lots

Evergreen

• 744 total lots
• 653 future lots

Candela South

• 348 total lots
• Lot delivery expected to begin in 2024

Rye Hill

• 1,723 total lots
• Large-scale development planned on approximately 980 acres

Preserve at Rosenberg

• 551 total lots
• Groundwork underway

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Multifamily Housing Overview

• Approximately 830 multifamily units under construction (North sector)
• Approximately 1,000+ units under construction (Northeast sector)
• Approximately 450 units under construction (Central sector)
• Nearly 3,000 total multifamily units in various planning stages

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Multifamily Activity

• Camber Ridge at Cross Creek Ranch: 312 units under construction
• Mio District West: 386 units with leasing underway
• Canvas on Founders Hill: 153 units under construction

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Enrollment Movement

• 2023–24 newcomers: 4,705; leavers: 3,841 (net gain: 864 students)
• 2024–25 newcomers: 5,675; leavers: 4,329 (net gain: 1,346 students)

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Enrollment Forecast

• 2024–25 enrollment: 46,525 students
• 2029–30 forecast: approximately 56,781 students
• 2034–35 forecast: approximately 66,172 students

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Key Takeaways

• Housing starts increased approximately 40% year-to-date compared to 2023
• Significant ongoing development activity across the district
• Approximately 2,300 multifamily units under construction
• Enrollment growth projected to continue long term

Full Report Access

For detailed maps, data tables, and projections, download the full report:

2024 Q2 Demographics Downloadable Report Zonda

Lamar CISD 2024 Q3 Demographic Report

Local Economic Conditions

• Unemployment rates increased sharply in 2020 and gradually declined through 2024
• October 2024 unemployment rates:
  • United States: 3.9%
  • Texas: 4.1%
  • Houston MSA: 4.5%
  • Fort Bend County: 4.3%

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Houston New Home Starts & Closings

• Annual housing starts: 38,226 homes
• Annual closings: 38,142 homes

Key Trends

• Starts: +13% year-over-year, -2% quarter-over-quarter
• Closings: +9% year-over-year, +3% quarter-over-quarter
• Starts exceeded closings by 84 homes

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Houston ISD Housing Ranking (3Q24)

ISD Rankings by Annual Closings

Rank	District	Annual Starts	Annual Closings	Future Lots
1	Lamar CISD	4,937	4,751	46,423
2	Conroe ISD	3,448	3,846	23,290
3	Katy ISD	2,947	3,396	15,576

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District New Home Activity

• 2024 Year-to-Date Starts: 3,908
• 2024 Year-to-Date Closings: 3,774

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District Housing Overview

• 94 actively building subdivisions
• 33 future subdivisions in planning
• More than 5,000 lots under development
• 934 lots delivered in Q3 2024

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Residential Development Highlights

Stonecreek Estates

• 1,126 total lots
• 685 occupied homes
• 615 LCISD students

Tamarron West

• 3,597 total lots
• 800 occupied homes
• 462 students residing

Fulshear Lakes

• 1,399 total lots
• 139 occupied homes
• Active development underway

Pecan Ridge

• 793 total lots
• 209 occupied homes
• Approx. 200 homes built per year

Hallimore Ranch

• 666 total lots
• Development underway
• Homes expected beginning 2025

The Preserve at Rosenberg

• 551 total lots
• Multiple sections under development

Austin Point

• 10,000 single-family lots planned
• 4,000 multifamily units planned
• Initial phase underway

Foster Farms

• ~6,500 total lots potential
• ~1,300 multifamily units potential

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Multifamily Housing Overview

• 300+ rental units under construction (north sector)
• 700+ future units in planning (north sector)
• 117 single-family rental units under construction (northeast sector)
• ~5,850 future multifamily units planned (central sector)

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Multifamily Yield

• 2,607 students reside in 11,280 multifamily units
• Overall student yield: 0.231

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Enrollment Forecast

• 2024–25 enrollment: 46,525 students
• 2029–30 projected enrollment: approximately 57,600 students
• 2034–35 projected enrollment: approximately 67,400 students

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Key Takeaways

• Quarterly housing starts remain above 1,100 homes
• Approximately 2,600 homes in current inventory
• 4,500+ additional lots available for development
• Housing development continues to drive enrollment growth

Full Report Access

For detailed maps, data tables, and projections, download the full report:

2024 Q3 Demographics Downloadable Report Zonda

Lamar CISD 2024 Q4 Demographic Report

Lamar CISD 4Q24 Demographic Report

Local Economic Conditions

Unemployment Trends (Jan 2020 – Dec 2024)

• Unemployment rates increased significantly in 2020, followed by steady declines through 2024
• By December 2024:
  • United States: 3.8%
  • Texas: 3.7%
  • Brazoria County: 4.1%
  • Harris County: 4.1%

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Housing Activity by MSA

• Houston ranked #2 nationally in housing starts
• 4Q24 annualized housing starts: 39,036
• Year-over-year increase: 10%
• Housing activity is up 27% compared to 2019

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Houston New Home Starts & Closings

• Annual housing starts increased approximately 10% year-over-year
• Closings increased approximately 12% year-over-year
• Closings exceeded starts by 64 homes

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Lamar CISD Housing Market Analysis

District Annual Home Sales (2013 – 2024)

• Total home sales in Lamar CISD declined for the third consecutive year
• Sales decreased approximately 8% year-over-year due to inflation and higher interest rates
• New home sales represented 67% of total sales in 2024
• This represents a 26% increase from 2023

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Home Price Trends

• Average new home price has increased approximately 61% since 2013 (+$154,200)
• Average existing home price has increased approximately 66% since 2013 (+$169,000)

Average Home Prices (Selected Years)

Year	Average New Home Price	Average Existing Home Price
2013	$252,579	$255,512
2018	$299,178	$301,010
2022	$453,495	$390,482
2024	$406,743	$424,530

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Houston ISD Housing Ranking (4Q24)

ISD Ranking by Annual Closings

Rank	District	Annual Starts	Annual Closings	Future Lots
1	Lamar CISD	4,984	5,011	53,797
2	Conroe ISD	3,409	3,727	22,888
3	Katy ISD	3,108	3,373	14,966

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District New Home Activity

• 2024 Annual Starts: 4,984
• 2024 Annual Closings: 5,011
• Closings exceeded starts for the year

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Year-over-Year Change (4Q23 vs. 4Q24)

Metric	4Q23	4Q24	Change
Annual Starts	4,295	4,984	+689
Annual Closings	3,991	5,011	+1,020
Inventory	2,481	2,455	-26
Future Lots	38,266	53,797	+15,531

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District Housing Overview

• 94 active subdivisions currently building
• 39 future subdivisions in various planning stages
• Approximately 2,900 lots under development
• 1,646 lots delivered in Q4

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Residential Development Highlights

Arabella on the Prairie

• 983 total lots
• 650 future lots
• 127 occupied homes
• 38 LCISD students residing in the development

Brentwood Farms

• 1,500 total lots planned
• 166 lots approved
• Groundwork underway

Evergreen

• 743 total lots
• 499 future lots
• 40 occupied homes

Tamarron West

• 3,597 total lots
• 963 occupied homes
• 462 students residing in the development

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Multifamily Housing Overview

• Approximately 1,000 rental units currently under construction
• 270 units are single-family rentals
• More than 6,700 future rental units planned

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Enrollment Forecast

• 2024–25 enrollment: 46,525 students
• 2029–30 projection: approximately 57,600 students
• 2034–35 projection: approximately 67,400 students

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Key Takeaways

• Housing starts increased approximately 4% year-over-year in Q4
• Total 2024 starts increased 16% compared to 2023
• Approximately 2,450 homes currently in inventory
• More than 5,000 build-ready lots available
• Enrollment growth remains strong long-term

 

Full Report Access

For detailed maps, data tables, and projections, download the full report:

2024 Q4 Demographics Downloadable Report Zond

Lamar CISD 2023 Demographic Report (PASA)

Executive Summary

• Lamar CISD continues to be one of the fastest-growing school districts in Texas and the Houston region
• Growth is driven primarily by strong residential housing development
• Both single-family and multifamily construction have increased significantly in recent years

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Enrollment Projections

• 2022–23 enrollment: 45,038 students
• Projected 2032–33 enrollment (moderate growth): 76,238 students
• Total projected increase: 31,000+ students over 10 years
• Annual growth rate: approximately 4.7% to 7.1%

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Housing Growth Projections

• Projected new single-family homes (2022–2032): ~52,800
• Projected new multifamily units: ~17,600
• Average student yield:
  • Single-family homes: 0.55 students per unit
  • Multifamily units: 0.37 students per unit

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Key Growth Areas

• Northwest (Fulshear area): largest growth, projected 7,600+ additional elementary students
• Southeast and southwest quadrants: projected growth of 2,200–3,200 students each

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Major Residential Developments

• Tamarron West
• Cross Creek West
• Austin Point
• Jordan Ranch
• Star Bridge

These developments account for more than 21,000 future housing units within the district.

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Demographic Profile

• Median household income: $95,424
• Median home value: $279,000
• More than 40% of adults hold a bachelor’s degree or higher
• Approximately 20% of the population is school-aged

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Facility Planning Implications

Elementary Schools

• Current capacity (2022–23): 23,328 students
• Projected population (2032–33): 34,088 students
• Shortfall: 10,600+ seats
• Estimated need: 14 new elementary schools within 10 years

Secondary Schools

• Significant capacity pressure expected in middle and high school levels
• Multiple new secondary campuses required
• Three secondary complexes anticipated by 2032–33

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Charter and Private School Impact

• Charter school enrollment (2022–23): ~985 students
• Projected charter enrollment within 5 years: 2,000+ students
• Private school enrollment: ~814 students, expected to exceed 1,000

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Student Transfers

• Student movement occurs between neighboring districts and within specialized programs
• Both inbound and outbound transfers impact enrollment projections

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Key Takeaways

• Lamar CISD is experiencing sustained, high growth driven by housing development
• Significant investment in new school facilities will be required
• Growth is concentrated in northern and western areas of the district
• Charter and private school competition is increasing
• Long-term enrollment is expected to exceed 75,000 students

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Full Report Access

For full detailed tables, maps, and projections, download the complete report:
Download 2022–2023 PASA Demographic Report (PDF)

 

Lamar CISD 2023 Q3 Demographic Report

 

Local Economic Conditions

• Unemployment rates increased sharply during 2020 and gradually improved through 2023
• Economic conditions stabilized in 2023 with moderate labor market growth

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Houston New Home Starts & Closings

• Annual housing starts remained strong in 2023
• Housing activity continued to outpace historical averages

Key Trends

• Starts remained elevated compared to previous years
• Closings tracked closely with starts, indicating steady demand

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Houston ISD Housing Ranking (3Q23)

ISD Rankings by Annual Closings

Rank	District	Annual Starts	Annual Closings
1	Lamar CISD	4,300+	3,900+
2	Conroe ISD	3,400+	3,700+
3	Katy ISD	3,000+	3,200+

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District New Home Activity

• New home construction remained strong throughout 2023
• Quarterly starts consistently exceeded 1,000 homes

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District Housing Overview

• Active residential construction across numerous subdivisions
• Significant number of future subdivisions in planning stages
• Consistent delivery of developed lots throughout the year

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Residential Development Highlights

• Tamarron: One of the largest and most active developments in the district
• Candela: Continued buildout with strong occupancy growth
• Emberly: Early-stage development with rapid expansion potential
• Fulshear Lakes: Active development with significant future lots

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Multifamily Housing Overview

• Multifamily construction activity increasing across the district
• Multiple projects under construction or planned
• Growth in single-family rental products alongside traditional apartments

Key Multifamily Activity

• New apartment communities under development across multiple zones
• Increased rental demand across the region

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Enrollment Trends

• Lamar CISD continued to experience strong enrollment growth
• Population growth driven largely by residential development

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Enrollment Forecast

• District enrollment projected to exceed 55,000 students by the late 2020s
• Long-term growth expected to surpass 65,000 students by early 2030s

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Key Takeaways

• Housing development remains the primary driver of enrollment growth
• Strong pipeline of future residential and multifamily projects
• Economic conditions in 2023 support continued growth

Full Report Access

For detailed maps, data tables, and projections, download the full report:

2023 Quarter 3 Downloadable Report Zonda

Lamar CISD 2022 Demographic Report (PASA)

Executive Summary

• Lamar CISD experienced strong enrollment growth driven by residential development
• The district is among the fastest-growing school districts in the Houston region
• Growth is concentrated in areas with active and planned master-planned communities

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Enrollment Trends

• 2021–22 enrollment: approximately 42,000 students
• Enrollment increased significantly year-over-year
• Growth is strongest at the elementary level and moving upward into secondary grades

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Enrollment Projections

• Enrollment projected to exceed 70,000 students within 10 years
• Annual growth expected to remain strong due to continued housing development
• Multiple growth scenarios (low, moderate, high) used for planning purposes

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Housing Growth Projections

• Significant increase in single-family housing construction
• Rapid expansion of master-planned communities across the district
• Growing presence of build-to-rent (single-family rental) developments

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Key Growth Areas

• Northwest region (Fulshear area) identified as the fastest-growing part of the district
• Western and southern areas also experiencing considerable growth

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Major Residential Developments

• Tamarron
• Cross Creek Ranch
• Jordan Ranch
• Candela

These developments contribute significantly to future enrollment growth.

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Demographic Characteristics

• Median household income and home values increased alongside development activity
• Educational attainment levels rising as new residents move into the district
• Share of school-aged population remains strong relative to the region

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Facility Planning Implications

Elementary Schools

• Current capacity is expected to be exceeded as enrollment grows
• Additional elementary schools will be required to accommodate new students

Secondary Schools

• Middle and high school enrollment projected to increase significantly
• New secondary campuses or expansions will be needed

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Student Transfers and School Choice

• Transfers between districts and programs affect enrollment distribution
• Charter school presence is increasing in the region
• Private school enrollment remains a smaller but growing segment

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Key Takeaways

• Rapid residential growth is the primary driver of enrollment increases
• Facility expansion is critical to accommodate projected growth
• Growth will continue to shift toward western and northern parts of the district
• Long-term enrollment growth remains strong

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Full Report Access

For detailed maps, projections, and supporting data, download the full report:
Download 2021–2022 PASA Demographic Report (PDF)

Lamar CISD 2021 Demographic Report (PASA)

Executive Summary

• Lamar CISD experienced consistent enrollment growth prior to and during 2020–2021
• Growth is driven primarily by residential development and population increases in the region
• The district is positioned for continued long-term expansion

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Enrollment Trends

• Enrollment growth has been steady over multiple years
• Largest increases occurred at the elementary level
• Growth patterns indicate future increases at middle and high school levels as cohorts advance

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Enrollment Projections

• Enrollment expected to increase significantly over the next decade
• Projections indicate continued strong annual growth rates
• Multiple growth scenarios (low, moderate, high) were analyzed for planning

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Housing Growth

• Significant increase in single-family home construction across the district
• New developments concentrated in western and northwestern areas
• Future housing pipeline supports continued enrollment growth

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Key Growth Areas

• Fulshear and surrounding northwest areas represent the fastest growth
• Southern and western areas also experiencing new development activity

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Major Residential Developments

• Tamarron
• Cross Creek Ranch
• Aliana (regional influence)
• Candela

These developments contribute significantly to student population growth.

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Demographic Characteristics

• Household income levels increasing with new development
• Population growth concentrated among families with school-aged children
• Educational attainment trends rising across the district

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Facility Planning Implications

Elementary Schools

• Enrollment projected to exceed current capacity levels
• Additional elementary campuses required

Secondary Schools

• Middle and high school growth expected to follow elementary increases
• New secondary facilities or expansions will be needed

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Student Transfers and School Choice

• Student transfer patterns impact enrollment distribution
• Charter school presence in the region is increasing
• Private school enrollment remains stable but may grow over time

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Key Takeaways

• Residential development is the primary driver of enrollment growth
• Significant facility expansion will be required
• Growth is concentrated in western and northwestern areas
• Long-term enrollment trends remain strong

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Full Report Access

For detailed projections, maps, and supporting data, download the full report:
Download 2020–2021 PASA Demographic Report (PDF)

Lamar CISD 2020 Demographic Report (PASA)

Executive Summary

• Lamar CISD experienced steady enrollment growth leading into 2020
• Growth was driven primarily by sustained residential development
• The district continued to rank among the fastest-growing districts in the Houston region

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Enrollment Trends

• Enrollment increased consistently in the years leading up to 2020
• Strongest growth occurred at the elementary level
• Enrollment patterns indicated future increases at middle and high school levels

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Enrollment Projections

• Long-term projections showed continued growth over the next decade
• Enrollment expected to exceed 60,000 students in future years
• Multiple growth scenarios were developed for planning purposes

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Housing Growth

• Significant expansion in single-family housing construction
• Increased development of master-planned communities
• Residential growth identified as the primary driver of enrollment increases

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Key Growth Areas

• Northwestern portion of the district identified as the fastest-growing region
• Western and southern areas also experiencing new development activity

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Major Residential Developments

• Tamarron
• Cross Creek Ranch
• Aliana (regional influence)
• Candela

These developments contributed significantly to district enrollment growth.

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Demographic Characteristics

• Household income and home values increased alongside residential growth
• Population growth driven largely by families with school-aged children
• Educational attainment levels continued to improve

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Facility Planning Implications

Elementary Schools

• Projected enrollment expected to exceed current capacity
• Additional elementary campuses required to meet demand

Secondary Schools

• Middle and high school growth expected as enrollment cohorts advance
• Planning required for expansions or new campuses

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Student Transfers and School Choice

• Transfers between districts impact enrollment levels
• Charter school availability increasing in the Houston region
• Private school enrollment remains steady but may grow

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Key Takeaways

• Lamar CISD maintained strong growth momentum entering 2020
• Residential development continues to drive enrollment increases
• Facility expansion planning is critical
• Growth concentrated in western and northwestern areas

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Full Report Access

For complete data tables, maps, and projections, download the full report:
Download 2020 Demographic Report (PDF)

Lamar CISD 2019 Demographic Report (PASA)

Executive Summary

• Lamar CISD experienced strong enrollment growth leading into 2019
• Growth was primarily driven by residential development and population increases
• The district was already exhibiting high growth trends compared to surrounding areas

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Enrollment Trends

• Enrollment increased steadily year-over-year prior to 2019
• Most growth occurred at the elementary school level
• Growth expected to continue as younger student cohorts progress through the system

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Enrollment Projections

• Long-term projections indicated significant growth over the next decade
• District enrollment expected to exceed 50,000 students in future years
• Multiple growth scenarios were used to support planning decisions

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Housing Growth

• Rapid increase in single-family housing construction
• Expansion of master-planned communities within district boundaries
• Housing development identified as the primary driver of enrollment growth

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Key Growth Areas

• Western and northwestern portions of the district identified as major growth zones
• New development activity concentrated around expanding suburban areas

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Major Residential Developments

• Tamarron
• Cross Creek Ranch
• Aliana (regional influence)

These developments contributed significantly to district enrollment increases.

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Demographic Characteristics

• Median household income and home values increased with new development
• Population growth driven largely by families with school-aged children
• Educational attainment levels increasing across the district

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Facility Planning Implications

Elementary Schools

• Projected enrollment expected to exceed existing capacity
• Additional elementary campuses required to accommodate growth

Secondary Schools

• Middle and high school growth expected as enrollment cohorts advance
• Planning required for expansion or new campuses

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Student Transfers and School Choice

• Student transfers between districts and programs impact enrollment patterns
• Charter school presence in the region is growing
• Private school enrollment remains a smaller but present factor

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Key Takeaways

• Lamar CISD was already on a strong growth trajectory by 2019
• Residential development continues to drive enrollment increases
• Long-term planning for facilities is essential
• Growth concentrated in western and northwestern areas of the district

---

Full Report Access

For detailed maps, data tables, and projections, download the full report:
Download 2019 Demographic Report (PDF)

Lamar CISD 2018 Demographic Report (PASA)

Executive Summary

• Lamar CISD experienced strong enrollment growth leading into 2018
• Growth was driven primarily by residential development within the district
• The district was among the fastest-growing in the Houston metropolitan area

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Enrollment Trends

• Enrollment increased steadily in the years leading up to 2018
• The largest increases occurred at the elementary school level
• Growth trends indicated continued increases at middle and high school levels in future years

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Enrollment Projections

• Long-term projections indicated continued enrollment growth over the following decade
• District enrollment expected to exceed 50,000 students in future years
• Multiple growth scenarios (low, moderate, high) used for planning purposes

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Housing Growth

• Rapid increase in single-family residential construction across the district
• Expansion of master-planned communities driving population growth
• Housing development identified as the primary factor influencing enrollment increases

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Key Growth Areas

• Western and northwestern portions of the district identified as major growth regions
• New development concentrated in suburban expansion areas

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Major Residential Developments

• Tamarron
• Cross Creek Ranch
• Aliana (regional influence)

These developments contributed significantly to enrollment growth within the district.

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Demographic Characteristics

• Household income and home values increased alongside new development
• Population growth driven primarily by families with school-aged children
• Educational attainment levels increasing across the district

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Facility Planning Implications

Elementary Schools

• Enrollment projected to exceed current capacity levels
• Additional elementary campuses required to accommodate growth

Secondary Schools

• Middle and high school enrollment expected to increase as elementary cohorts advance
• Planning required for future secondary campus expansion

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Student Transfers and School Choice

• Transfers between districts and specialized programs affect enrollment patterns
• Charter school presence beginning to grow in the region
• Private school enrollment remains a smaller component of the overall student population

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Key Takeaways

• Lamar CISD entered a sustained period of rapid growth beginning prior to 2018
• Residential development continues to drive student enrollment increases
• Facility planning and expansion are critical to support projected growth
• Long-term enrollment trends remain strong

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Full Report Access

For detailed maps, projections, and data tables, download the full report:
Download 2018 PASA Demographic Report (PDF)

Lamar CISD 2017 Demographic Report (PASA)

Executive Summary

• Lamar CISD experienced steady enrollment growth leading into 2017
• Growth was primarily driven by residential development and population increases
• The district was emerging as a high-growth area within the Houston region

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Enrollment Trends

• Enrollment increased consistently in the years leading up to 2017
• Most growth occurred at the elementary level
• Projected growth expected to expand into middle and high school levels over time

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Enrollment Projections

• Long-term projections indicated sustained growth over the next decade
• District enrollment expected to continue increasing due to residential expansion
• Multiple growth scenarios (low, moderate, high) were evaluated for planning purposes

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Housing Growth

• Expansion of single-family residential development across the district
• Growth of master-planned communities contributing to population increases
• Housing development identified as the primary driver of enrollment growth

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Key Growth Areas

• Western and northwestern areas identified as primary growth corridors
• Suburban expansion areas experienced significant new development

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Major Residential Developments

• Tamarron
• Cross Creek Ranch
• Aliana (regional influence)

These developments contributed significantly to enrollment increases.

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Demographic Characteristics

• Rising household income levels associated with new residential development
• Increase in families with school-aged children moving into the district
• Educational attainment levels trending upward

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Facility Planning Implications

Elementary Schools

• Enrollment projected to exceed existing capacity levels
• Additional elementary campuses needed to support growth

Secondary Schools

• Future growth expected at middle and high school levels
• Planning required for expansion and new campus development

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Student Transfers and School Choice

• Student transfer patterns affect overall enrollment distribution
• Charter school presence beginning to emerge as a factor
• Private school enrollment remains limited but present

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Key Takeaways

• The district entered a sustained growth trajectory beginning prior to 2017
• Residential development continues to drive enrollment increases
• Facility planning and expansion are critical for long-term success
• Growth concentrated in western and northwestern regions

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Full Report Access

For detailed projections, maps, and supporting data, download the full report:
Download 2017 PASA Demographic Report (PDF)